Why debt lawsuits matter to anyone with a mortgage or hoping to get one

If you are behind on a credit card, a medical bill or a phone account, the next stage may not be another phone call. It may be a court summons. Debt collection lawsuits appear to be climbing, and the way they usually end, with a default judgment, can reach well beyond a bank account.

Here is the short answer to the question many readers are asking. A collection account can pull down your credit score. A court judgment can add another layer of risk, since in many states it can lead to wage garnishment, bank levies or a lien. Any of these can make it harder to qualify for a mortgage or refinance, and they can drain the monthly cash you need to keep up payments on a home you already own. Exactly how much depends on your loan type, your lender and your state.

This article draws on a recent video from Michael Bordenaro Clips, a California-based housing and economy commentator, and adds context from public sources. It is general information, not personal financial or legal advice.

What the video reports about collections and lawsuits

Bordenaro's central claim is that consumer delinquencies are near record highs going back to the financial crisis, and that debt buyers are taking advantage. He cites several data points, which we present here as he stated them.

Data point Figure cited
Share of Americans with a credit report and at least one third-party collection account (Q1 2023, per the CFPB) About 1 in 5 (20%)
Medical bills as a share of third-party collections 36%
Banking and financial debts 19%
Telecommunications bills 16%
Retail debt 11%
Utilities 6%
Typical collection amount Around $1,500
Cases ending in default judgment (per a consumer defense attorney) Roughly 75%
Encore Capital Group US cash collections, Q2 A record $572 million, up 17% year over year
Encore legal collections share About 37%
Portfolio Recovery Associates (PRA) US cash collections, Q2 $291 million, up 6%
PRA legal collections share 52%, up 9% from a year earlier
Encore US consumer debt purchased in the quarter A record $372 million

He also notes that January Advisors, a consulting firm, found court filings rising in 2025 in seven of the eight states it tracks, with collections continuing to grow into 2026. Citizens Bank, he says, describes the market as a "cyclical sweet spot" for distressed debt supply, including fintech loans, personal loans and subprime credit cards.

One important caveat: the CFPB figure is from early 2023 and, as Bordenaro himself points out, it only counts what shows up on credit reports. Accounts can be in collections, and generating calls and letters, before they are reported.

How the debt-buying business works

The mechanics help explain why lawsuits are rising. According to the video, collection companies typically buy accounts that are 180 days or more past due from major lenders for pennies on the dollar. They then try to recover the full balance, but even collecting a fraction can be profitable because the purchase price was so low.

Bordenaro says analysts describe current conditions as a "Goldilocks environment" for the industry: plentiful, cheap debt and solid recoveries. He points to the stock performance of publicly traded collectors, saying Encore shares rose 141% over 12 months and PRA shares rose 37%. We cannot independently confirm those figures here, and readers should treat them as the creator's numbers rather than investment guidance, a caution he also offers.

He also describes how Encore's 2025 annual report refers to a proprietary statistical model that estimates the likelihood and size of recoveries on each account. In plain terms, collectors use analytics to decide which accounts are worth pursuing and how. That can make a lawsuit a calculated choice rather than a last resort.

Litigation costs more than phone calls and emails. His argument is that collectors are willing to pay it because most suits end in default judgments, where the consumer does not respond or appear. A judgment can then open the door to wage garnishment, bank account levies and, in some states, claims against certain property. Rules on what can be seized vary widely by state.

What a collection account or judgment does to your credit and mortgage chances

This is where the story meets housing. A few general points apply, although lender policies change and you should confirm details with a loan officer.

Credit scores. Collection accounts are negative marks and can stay on a credit report for years. Newer scoring models treat some collections, such as paid ones and certain medical ones, more gently than older models do. Which score a lender pulls matters, and mortgage lenders have historically relied on older versions. Check your own reports for accuracy through AnnualCreditReport.com.

Underwriting. Mortgage programs differ on how they treat open collections. Some conventional loan reviews are relatively flexible about smaller collection accounts, while other programs or lenders may ask for them to be paid or placed on a payment plan. Underwriters also look at your debt-to-income ratio, so a settlement payment plan can count against you.

Judgments. An unpaid civil judgment is generally a bigger obstacle than a collection account alone. In many states a judgment can be recorded as a lien against real estate you own or buy, and lenders typically want a clean title. Expect a lender to require payoff, a satisfaction of judgment or an approved repayment arrangement before closing.

Rates and price. Weaker credit usually means a higher mortgage rate or a larger down payment requirement. With borrowing costs already a hurdle for many buyers, as we explored in Why Is It So Hard to Buy a House? Rates, Prices and Payments, a lower score can widen the gap between a buyer and a approval.

Can missed-bill stress threaten homeowners' payments?

The more urgent question for owners is cash flow. Collections hit categories like medical bills, credit cards, phone and utility accounts. When those slip, it often means a household is stretched, and a mortgage payment sits in the same budget.

Several things can happen in sequence. A garnishment reduces take-home pay. A levied bank account can cause missed payments elsewhere. A new judgment can limit refinancing or a home equity loan, which owners sometimes use to consolidate debt. Meanwhile, taxes, insurance and, for condo owners, assessments continue to rise. Our piece on condo special assessments and forced sales shows how a single large bill can tip an owner over.

That said, mortgage delinquencies are a different data set from card and collection delinquencies. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York publishes a quarterly household debt report that breaks out mortgages, credit cards, auto loans, student loans and other debt separately, and it is the best place to see where stress is concentrated. For related reading, see Personal Bankruptcies Rising: Do They Hit Mortgages and Home Sales? and Foreclosures Up 42%: Is Distress Big Enough to Cut Home Prices?.

Limits and counterpoints to the video's view

Bordenaro is firm that the US is living through "some phase of the next financial crisis" and that collections may eventually surpass 2008 levels. That is a forecast, not a finding, and a few points deserve balance.

  • Collections are not the same as mortgage stress. Many homeowners hold fixed-rate loans and substantial equity. Rising collections on medical, card and utility debt do not automatically translate into mass mortgage defaults.
  • Record collections can reflect industry behavior. Higher cash collections for a company can come from larger debt purchases, better analytics or more litigation, not only from more distress. The video itself notes Encore's record buying.
  • The data is mixed in age and scope. The CFPB figure is from 2023, January Advisors covers only eight states, and the "75% default" claim comes from one attorney's estimate. Local patterns will differ.
  • Company results are not uniform. PRA's collections rose 6% versus Encore's 17%, which suggests the picture varies by firm and portfolio.
  • Not every lawsuit is valid. The video itself notes that consumers who contest can often win dismissal or a reduction. Debt may be too old to sue on, or the collector may not be able to document ownership.

The wider economic argument, that inflation, wages and jobs are all deteriorating, is contested and worth checking against official data. For a more measured look at warning signs, see Recession Warning Signs in 2026: What They Mean for Housing.

What this means for you

If you are a buyer

  • Pull your credit reports from all three bureaus well before you apply and dispute errors in writing.
  • Ask a loan officer how your target loan program treats open collections and judgments. Do not pay or settle an old debt before asking, because in some cases a payment can restart the clock on the statute of limitations or change how the account is reported.
  • If you have a judgment, ask for the satisfaction paperwork once it is resolved and keep it for underwriting.
  • Keep new credit applications to a minimum while you shop for a mortgage.

If you are a seller

  • Check for recorded judgments before listing. A lien against the property typically must be cleared at closing, which can reduce your net proceeds or delay a sale.
  • If you are selling to get ahead of debt trouble, talk to a housing counselor or attorney about the full picture first, including tax and equity consequences.

If you are a current homeowner

  • Never ignore a summons. The deadline to respond is usually short and set by your state. The video's practical advice is to either work out a resolution or show up in court, and that matches common legal guidance.
  • Ask the collector for written validation of the debt, including who owns it and how much is owed. The CFPB's debt collection resources explain your rights under federal law.
  • Prioritize secured and essential payments such as your mortgage, property taxes and insurance, and look for free help from a HUD-approved housing counselor if you are falling behind.
  • Contact your mortgage servicer early if your income drops. Servicers generally have more options before a payment is missed.

What to watch next

Three indicators will show whether collections stress is bleeding into housing. First, the New York Fed's quarterly household debt report for changes in mortgage and card delinquency rates. Second, the next earnings reports from Encore and PRA for the mix of litigation versus voluntary collections. Third, regional foreclosure data, such as our look at Florida foreclosure rates by city. If delinquencies in cards and personal loans start moving into mortgages and HELOCs, that would be a more direct signal for home prices and sales.

For now, the safest reading is that debt lawsuits are a symptom of household strain and a real risk to individual credit files, not proof of a housing crash. The most controllable variable for any one household is showing up, documenting the debt and getting advice before a default judgment is entered.